I haven't made the best of starts to 2011; so far I'm down almost eighty bucks. Most of those losses have come in badugi ($55 in 138 hands). Maybe I'll have to get a real job this year after all. Here are five hands from the last five days:
Hand 1
Not a lot I can do about this one. It got me thinking what would be the worst pat hand I'd commit with 70-odd big blinds deep? What about 150 BB? This game might simply be too opponent-dependent to come up with even a vague rule of thumb.
PokerStars Game #55156994688: Single Draw 2-7 Lowball No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2010/12/31 18:46:00 ET
Table 'Zelia III' 7-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: hebo55555 ($67.90 in chips)
Seat 2: bar_men_83 ($46.25 in chips)
Seat 3: plutoman20 ($37.35 in chips)
Seat 5: PokeYer ($41.60 in chips)
Seat 6: STUDENT 63% ($60.90 in chips)
Seat 7: lynxjune ($61.85 in chips)
bar_men_83: posts small blind $0.25
plutoman20: posts big blind $0.50
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [3s 6s 8c 4s 5s]
tehopo1 leaves the table
PokeYer: calls $0.50
STUDENT 63%: folds
lynxjune: folds
hebo55555: folds
bar_men_83: raises $1 to $1.50
plutoman20: raises $2.50 to $4
PokeYer: folds
bar_men_83: raises $4 to $8
plutoman20: raises $29.35 to $37.35 and is all-in
bar_men_83: calls $29.35
bar_men_83: stands pat
plutoman20: stands pat on [3s 6s 8c 4s 5s]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
bar_men_83: shows [8d 5c 2s 4d 3h] (Lo: 8,5,4,3,2)
plutoman20: mucks hand
bar_men_83 collected $72.20 from pot
plutoman20 said, "nh"
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $75.20 Rake $3
Seat 1: hebo55555 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: bar_men_83 (small blind) showed [8d 5c 2s 4d 3h] and won ($72.20) with Lo: 8,5,4,3,2
Seat 3: plutoman20 (big blind) mucked [3s 6s 8c 4s 5s]
Seat 5: PokeYer folded before Flop
Seat 6: STUDENT 63% folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: lynxjune folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Hand 2
Bloody Bar_men again, but this time (annoyingly) he's on my left. I've been in this spot a few times before against him, so I should have known better than to play a pat 10-8 this way out of position.
PokerStars Game #55159156270: Single Draw 2-7 Lowball No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2010/12/31 20:03:09 ET
Table 'Schlutia' 7-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: cockaroach13 ($26.95 in chips)
Seat 2: plutoman20 ($27.60 in chips)
Seat 3: bar_men_83 ($54.70 in chips)
Seat 4: wayne 456 ($33.60 in chips)
Seat 5: GazBarker ($20.60 in chips)
Seat 6: Jordan4496 ($5.50 in chips)
Seat 7: hebo55555 ($75.20 in chips)
cockaroach13: posts small blind $0.25
plutoman20: posts big blind $0.50
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [Ts 8c 6s 2s 4c]
bar_men_83: raises $1 to $1.50
wayne 456: folds
GazBarker: folds
Jordan4496: folds
hebo55555: folds
cockaroach13: folds
plutoman20: raises $3.50 to $5
bar_men_83: calls $3.50
cockaroach13 leaves the table
plutoman20: stands pat on [Ts 8c 6s 2s 4c]
bar_men_83: discards 1 card
plutoman20: checks
bar_men_83: bets $49.70 and is all-in
plutoman20: folds
Uncalled bet ($49.70) returned to bar_men_83
bar_men_83 collected $9.75 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $10.25 Rake $0.50
Seat 1: cockaroach13 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 2: plutoman20 (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 3: bar_men_83 collected ($9.75)
Seat 4: wayne 456 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: GazBarker folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Jordan4496 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: hebo55555 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Hand 3
Yuck. After he patted I decided to draw to the smooth eight. The $5 bet was simply a value bet with my 9-8 (I might have been better off checking, but I had the nut 9-8 after all). When he shoved I figured he was slow-playing a monster; it's a line I see often enough. If I'd hit a seven to make number ten I'd have called his all-in, expecting to lose a lot of the time.
PokerStars Game #55384290194: Single Draw 2-7 Lowball No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2011/01/04 22:15:14 ET
Table 'Hirons VIII' 7-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: Doerka ($22.50 in chips)
Seat 2: gusty1988 ($10 in chips)
Seat 3: plutoman20 ($35.60 in chips)
Seat 4: Donkery ($35.45 in chips)
Seat 5: Leon Hakal ($19.10 in chips)
Seat 6: JuggliNick ($33.15 in chips)
Seat 7: BeavsLady ($22.70 in chips)
gusty1988: posts small blind $0.25
plutoman20: posts big blind $0.50
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [3c Th 2s 4c 8s]
Donkery: folds
Leon Hakal: folds
Doerka said, "do you know each other"
JuggliNick: folds
BeavsLady: folds
Doerka: raises $1 to $1.50
gusty1988 is disconnected
gusty1988 has timed out while disconnected
gusty1988: folds
plutoman20: raises $2.50 to $4
Doerka: calls $2.50
plutoman20: discards 1 card [Th]
Dealt to plutoman20 [3c 2s 4c 8s] [9h]
Doerka: stands pat
plutoman20: bets $5
Doerka: raises $13.50 to $18.50 and is all-in
plutoman20: folds
Uncalled bet ($13.50) returned to Doerka
Doerka collected $17.40 from pot
Doerka: doesn't show hand
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $18.25 Rake $0.85
Seat 1: Doerka (button) collected ($17.40)
Seat 2: gusty1988 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: plutoman20 (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 4: Donkery folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Leon Hakal folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: JuggliNick folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: BeavsLady folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Hand 4
A rare bright spot so far this year. I benefited from what I thought was a silly reraise from Doerka. Maybe I should have called with my 98432 nine minutes earlier after all.
PokerStars Game #55384592259: Single Draw 2-7 Lowball No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2011/01/04 22:24:06 ET
Table 'Hirons VIII' 7-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: Doerka ($32.35 in chips)
Seat 3: plutoman20 ($28.70 in chips)
Seat 4: Donkery ($26.10 in chips)
Seat 5: Leon Hakal ($22.85 in chips)
Seat 6: JuggliNick ($36.70 in chips)
Seat 7: BeavsLady ($19.70 in chips)
Doerka: posts small blind $0.25
plutoman20: posts big blind $0.50
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [8h 2c 4s 3c 8s]
Donkery: folds
Leon Hakal: folds
JuggliNick: folds
BeavsLady: folds
Doerka: raises $1 to $1.50
plutoman20: calls $1
Doerka: discards 1 card
plutoman20: discards 1 card [8s]
Dealt to plutoman20 [8h 2c 4s 3c] [5s]
Doerka: bets $2
plutoman20: raises $4 to $6
Doerka: raises $22.50 to $28.50
plutoman20: calls $21.20 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($1.30) returned to Doerka
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Doerka: shows [2s 4c 6c 7s 8c] (Lo: 8,7,6,4,2)
plutoman20: shows [8h 2c 4s 3c 5s] (Lo: 8,5,4,3,2)
plutoman20 collected $54.55 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $57.40 Rake $2.85
Seat 1: Doerka (small blind) showed [2s 4c 6c 7s 8c] and lost with Lo: 8,7,6,4,2
Seat 3: plutoman20 (big blind) showed [8h 2c 4s 3c 5s] and won ($54.55) with Lo: 8,5,4,3,2
Seat 4: Donkery folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Leon Hakal folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: JuggliNick folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: BeavsLady (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Hand 5
Four decision points in this badugi hand (those who think badugi is all luck and requires no thought are badly mistaken in my view):
1. Should I be breaking this from the get-go? Make it Q54A and I wouldn't hesitate to break; J32A and I'd probably break too. I think the heads-up-ness of the hand makes my pat with J54A correct here.
2. What do I do when The Nimsta check-raises me on the turn? Fold, call and pat, or call and break? Normally if you have to break you should fold instead, but pat badugis as breakable as this one are quite rare. I figure the pot is just big enough to make it worth calling and breaking.
3. Great. I hit a 7-5, and estimate I'm a 55% favourite against his range so I raise, which I now think was a mistake. The problem is that if he's got a real monster he'll three-bet me and unless I can somehow find a fold to his three-bet, my raise has just cost me $4 compared with the $2 it would bring me if he calls with a worse hand. And my 55% figure is probably optimistic anyway.
4. OK, so he does three-bet me. I don't think I've ever folded in this situation (I've seen too many people go crazy with rough sevens and even eights), but I should have at least considered it here. At higher levels of the game, raise-folding on the river is likely to be a worthwhile play on occasions.
Full Tilt Poker Game #26986855178: Table Ticonderoga - $1/$2 - Limit Badugi - 22:25:03 ET - 2011/01/04
Seat 1: topopoto ($15.25)
Seat 2: Krack_ur_nutz ($64.60)
Seat 3: btwen ($84), is sitting out
Seat 4: votoihong ($11)
Seat 5: The Nimsta ($90.75)
Seat 8: plutoman20 ($42.25)
topopoto posts the small blind of $0.50
Krack_ur_nutz posts the big blind of $1
The button is in seat #8
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [Jc 5d As 4h]
votoihong folds
The Nimsta raises to $2
plutoman20 raises to $3
topopoto folds
Krack_ur_nutz folds
The Nimsta calls $1
*** FIRST DRAW *** (Pot: $7.50)
The Nimsta discards 1 card
plutoman20 stands pat on [Jc 5d As 4h]
The Nimsta is dealt 1 card
The Nimsta checks
plutoman20 bets $1
The Nimsta calls $1
*** SECOND DRAW *** (Pot: $9.50)
The Nimsta discards 1 card
plutoman20 stands pat on [Jc 5d As 4h]
The Nimsta is dealt 1 card
The Nimsta checks
plutoman20 bets $2
The Nimsta raises to $4
plutoman20 calls $2
*** THIRD DRAW *** (Pot: $17.50)
The Nimsta stands pat
plutoman20 discards 1 card [Jc]
Dealt to plutoman20 [5d As 4h] [7c]
The Nimsta bets $2
plutoman20 raises to $4
The Nimsta raises to $6
plutoman20 calls $2
*** SHOW DOWN ***
The Nimsta shows [4d 3c 2s Ah] a Badugi: 4, 3, 2, A
plutoman20 mucks
The Nimsta wins the pot ($28.50) with a Badugi: 4, 3, 2, A
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $29.50 Rake $1
Seat 1: topopoto (small blind) folded before the Draw
Seat 2: Krack_ur_nutz (big blind) folded before the Draw
Seat 3: btwen is sitting out
Seat 4: votoihong folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 5: The Nimsta showed [4d 3c 2s Ah] and won ($28.50) with a Badugi: 4, 3, 2, A
Seat 8: plutoman20 (button) mucked [7c 5d 4h As] - a Badugi: 7, 5, 4, A
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