Sunday, July 29, 2012

Doing the badugi beat

As I play more online poker, I discover more weird and wonderful ways to run bad. The most common way at the moment is to see players showing up with huge hands for the position they happen to be in. For instance in badugi, people who open on the button, defend their blinds or even post a big blind keep showing down fives and sixes. Talking of running bad, I suffered what I think is my worst bad ugi beat ever yesterday. I also won probably my biggest pot ever.


Yesterday was a bit of a break-out day as my bankroll hit a new high, albeit by only a few dollars. Here are a few hands from all three draw games I play regularly:


Hand 1
Where do I start? My spreadsheet deals with this situation and tells me I've got 99% equity going into the last draw. I'll try to work it out from first principles. Of course he doesn't know I've got a six, but assuming he's drawing to [2d As], there are six two-card combinations that yield a winning hand: 43, 53, 54, 63, 64 and 65. For each of those there are two possibilities, e.g. [4c 3h] and [4h 3c]. But I've got 4c and 5h in my hand, so 63 is the only one of those six that actually has both possibilities of suits. So there are seven winning combinations. Out of how many in total? Well there are 44 cards he hasn't seen yet, so 44 × 43 ÷ 2 = 946 combinations altogether. So he's got a 7/946 = 0.074% chance of winning, or one in 135 if you prefer. The river was an obvious three-bet for me: if he's taking two on the last draw he might not have much idea about hand strength or could be raising junk or who knows.


PokerStars Hand #83951229912:  Badugi Limit ($2/$4 USD) - 2012/07/28
Table 'Tyndareus V' 8-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: plutoman20 ($83 in chips)
Seat 2: shrek7771 ($39.35 in chips)
Seat 3: Tatyana56 ($34.86 in chips)
Seat 4: spy4321 ($70.20 in chips)
Seat 5: huli2 ($53.48 in chips)
Seat 6: DJMayPoker ($87.13 in chips)
Seat 8: silna_rakia ($97.17 in chips)
spy4321: posts small blind $1
huli2: posts big blind $2
jeyun: sits out
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [5h Ad 4c 9c]
DJMayPoker: folds
silna_rakia: calls $2
plutoman20: raises $2 to $4
shrek7771: raises $2 to $6
Tatyana56: calls $6
spy4321: folds
huli2: folds
silna_rakia: calls $4
plutoman20: calls $2
*** FIRST DRAW ***
silna_rakia: discards 2 cards
plutoman20: discards 1 card [9c]
Dealt to plutoman20 [5h Ad 4c] [6s]
shrek7771: stands pat
Tatyana56: discards 2 cards
silna_rakia: checks
plutoman20: checks
shrek7771: bets $2
Tatyana56: calls $2
silna_rakia: calls $2
plutoman20: raises $2 to $4
shrek7771: calls $2
Tatyana56: calls $2
silna_rakia: calls $2
*** SECOND DRAW ***
silna_rakia: discards 1 card
plutoman20: stands pat on [5h Ad 4c 6s]
shrek7771: stands pat
Tatyana56: discards 2 cards
silna_rakia: checks
plutoman20: bets $4
shrek7771: folds
Tatyana56: calls $4
silna_rakia: calls $4
*** THIRD DRAW ***
silna_rakia: discards 1 card
plutoman20: stands pat on [5h Ad 4c 6s]
Tatyana56: discards 2 cards
silna_rakia: checks
plutoman20: bets $4
Tatyana56: raises $4 to $8
silna_rakia: folds
plutoman20: raises $4 to $12
Tatyana56: raises $4 to $16
Betting is capped
plutoman20: calls $4
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Tatyana56: shows [2d 5c As 4h] (Badugi: 5,4,2,A)
plutoman20: mucks hand
Tatyana56 collected $85.75 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $87 | Rake $1.25
Seat 1: plutoman20 mucked [5h Ad 4c 6s]
Seat 2: shrek7771 folded after the 2nd Draw
Seat 3: Tatyana56 (button) showed [2d 5c As 4h] and won ($85.75) with a Badugi: 5,4,2,A
Seat 4: spy4321 (small blind) folded before the Draw
Seat 5: huli2 (big blind) folded before the Draw
Seat 6: DJMayPoker folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 8: silna_rakia folded after the 3rd Draw


Hand 2
This was ten hands or so after the one above. If I'm raising UTG at a full table, I've probably got quite a good hand. But that didn't deter two players (including the villain in the hand above, obviously) from calling and drawing two. Then the real fun starts when I make number four. To be honest I half-expected to lose here.



PokerStars Hand #83951434067:  Badugi Limit ($2/$4 USD) - 2012/07/28
Table 'Tyndareus V' 8-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: plutoman20 ($46 in chips)
Seat 2: shrek7771 ($42.36 in chips)
Seat 3: Tatyana56 ($84.23 in chips)
Seat 4: spy4321 ($67.97 in chips)
Seat 5: huli2 ($77.04 in chips)
Seat 7: jeyun ($13 in chips)
Seat 8: silna_rakia ($74.39 in chips)
jeyun: posts small blind $1
silna_rakia: posts big blind $2
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [Ah Qh 4s 3d]
plutoman20: raises $2 to $4
shrek7771: folds
Tatyana56: calls $4
spy4321: calls $4
huli2: folds
jeyun: folds
silna_rakia: calls $2
*** FIRST DRAW ***
silna_rakia: discards 1 card
plutoman20: discards 1 card [Qh]
Dealt to plutoman20 [Ah 4s 3d] [Ad]
Tatyana56: discards 2 cards
spy4321: discards 2 cards
silna_rakia: checks
plutoman20: bets $2
Tatyana56: calls $2
spy4321: raises $2 to $4
silna_rakia: folds
plutoman20: calls $2
Tatyana56: calls $2
*** SECOND DRAW ***
plutoman20: discards 1 card [Ad]
Dealt to plutoman20 [Ah 4s 3d] [5c]
Tatyana56: discards 1 card
spy4321: discards 1 card
plutoman20: checks
Tatyana56: bets $4
spy4321: raises $4 to $8
plutoman20: raises $4 to $12
Tatyana56: raises $4 to $16
Betting is capped
spy4321: calls $8
plutoman20: calls $4
*** THIRD DRAW ***
plutoman20: stands pat on [Ah 4s 3d 5c]
Tatyana56: stands pat
spy4321: stands pat
plutoman20: checks
Tatyana56: bets $4
spy4321: raises $4 to $8
plutoman20: raises $4 to $12
Tatyana56: raises $4 to $16
Betting is capped
spy4321: calls $8
plutoman20: calls $4
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Tatyana56: shows [3s 6h Ac 5d] (Badugi: 6,5,3,A)
spy4321: shows [4c As 3h 6d] (Badugi: 6,4,3,A)
plutoman20: shows [Ah 5c 4s 3d] (Badugi: 5,4,3,A)
plutoman20 collected $123.75 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $125 | Rake $1.25
Seat 1: plutoman20 showed [Ah 5c 4s 3d] and won ($123.75) with a Badugi: 5,4,3,A
Seat 2: shrek7771 folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 3: Tatyana56 showed [3s 6h Ac 5d] and lost with a Badugi: 6,5,3,A
Seat 4: spy4321 showed [4c As 3h 6d] and lost with a Badugi: 6,4,3,A
Seat 5: huli2 (button) folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 7: jeyun (small blind) folded before the Draw
Seat 8: silna_rakia (big blind) folded after the 1st Draw


Hand 3
I nearly folded here, then saw my notes on him - the word "bluff" featured prominently - and made the call.


PokerStars Hand #83978797680:  Badugi Limit ($1/$2 USD) - 2012/07/28
Table 'Aguilar IV' 8-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: Krug26 ($48.47 in chips)
Seat 2: plutoman20 ($50 in chips)
Seat 5: barabas444 ($27.16 in chips)
Seat 7: djs909090 ($26.33 in chips)
Krug26: posts small blind $0.50
plutoman20: posts big blind $1
oOobovveroOo: sits out
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [3d Js Jd 5s]
barabas444: raises $1 to $2
djs909090: folds
Krug26: folds
plutoman20: calls $1
*** FIRST DRAW ***
plutoman20: discards 2 cards [Js Jd]
Dealt to plutoman20 [3d 5s] [Qs 7c]
barabas444: discards 1 card
plutoman20: checks
barabas444: bets $1
plutoman20: calls $1
*** SECOND DRAW ***
plutoman20: discards 1 card [Qs]
Dealt to plutoman20 [3d 5s 7c] [Tc]
barabas444: discards 1 card
plutoman20: checks
barabas444: checks
*** THIRD DRAW ***
plutoman20: discards 1 card [Tc]
Dealt to plutoman20 [3d 5s 7c] [Jh]
barabas444: discards 1 card
plutoman20: bets $2
barabas444: raises $2 to $4
plutoman20: calls $2
*** SHOW DOWN ***
barabas444: shows [Ac 3s 6h 2h] (3-card: 3,2,A)
plutoman20: shows [3d Jh 7c 5s] (Badugi: J,7,5,3)
plutoman20 collected $14.06 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $14.50 | Rake $0.44
Seat 1: Krug26 (small blind) folded before the Draw
Seat 2: plutoman20 (big blind) showed [3d Jh 7c 5s] and won ($14.06) with a Badugi: J,7,5,3
Seat 5: barabas444 showed [Ac 3s 6h 2h] and lost with a 3-card: 3,2,A
Seat 7: djs909090 (button) folded before the Draw (didn't bet)






Hand 4
This 1:2 spot comes up every now and then; I'm never quite sure whether to call a raise.

PokerStars Hand #83980078605:  Badugi Limit ($1/$2 USD) - 2012/07/28 18:15:50 ET
Table 'Aguilar IV' 8-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 2: plutoman20 ($68.46 in chips)
Seat 4: PoldiPoesel ($33.90 in chips)
Seat 6: evasion80 ($43.50 in chips)
Seat 7: djs909090 ($69.03 in chips)
Seat 8: huli2 ($23.20 in chips)
djs909090: posts small blind $0.50
huli2: posts big blind $1
serega pt: sits out
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [7c 4h 2d 5c]
plutoman20: raises $1 to $2
PoldiPoesel: calls $2
evasion80: folds
djs909090: folds
huli2: calls $1
*** FIRST DRAW ***
huli2: discards 2 cards
plutoman20: discards 1 card [7c]
Dealt to plutoman20 [4h 2d 5c] [4d]
PoldiPoesel: discards 2 cards
huli2: checks
plutoman20: bets $1
PoldiPoesel: calls $1
huli2: calls $1
*** SECOND DRAW ***
huli2: discards 2 cards
plutoman20: discards 1 card [4d]
Dealt to plutoman20 [4h 2d 5c] [9h]
PoldiPoesel: discards 2 cards
evasion80 leaves the table
huli2: checks
plutoman20: bets $2
PoldiPoesel: calls $2
huli2: folds
*** THIRD DRAW ***
plutoman20: discards 1 card [9h]
Dealt to plutoman20 [4h 2d 5c] [3h]
PoldiPoesel: discards 2 cards
plutoman20: bets $2
PoldiPoesel: raises $2 to $4
plutoman20: calls $2
*** SHOW DOWN ***
PoldiPoesel: shows [Ah 3d 3s 2s] (3-card: 3,2,A)
plutoman20: mucks hand
PoldiPoesel collected $20.70 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $21.50 | Rake $0.80
Seat 2: plutoman20 mucked [3h 4h 2d 5c]
Seat 4: PoldiPoesel showed [Ah 3d 3s 2s] and won ($20.70) with a 3-card: 3,2,A
Seat 6: evasion80 (button) folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 7: djs909090 (small blind) folded before the Draw
Seat 8: huli2 (big blind) folded after the 2nd Draw


Hand 5
I chose just to call here even though I figure I've got the best hand a lot of the time. I don't particularly want him to break, and if he reraises me I'm in a bit of an awkward spot.


PokerStars Hand #83983454298:  Badugi Limit ($1/$2 USD) - 2012/07/28
Table 'Aguilar IV' 8-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 2: plutoman20 ($21.94 in chips)
Seat 3: guitarlord66 ($28.50 in chips)
Seat 4: dirkORdie ($21.46 in chips)
Seat 6: bettor77 ($67.62 in chips)
Seat 7: djs909090 ($94.92 in chips)
Seat 8: huli2 ($62.18 in chips)
huli2: posts small blind $0.50
plutoman20: posts big blind $1
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [2h 3d 7s 5h]
guitarlord66: folds
dirkORdie: folds
bettor77: folds
djs909090: folds
huli2: raises $1 to $2
plutoman20: calls $1
*** FIRST DRAW ***
huli2: stands pat
plutoman20: discards 1 card [5h]
Dealt to plutoman20 [2h 3d 7s] [5d]
huli2: bets $1
plutoman20: calls $1
*** SECOND DRAW ***
huli2: stands pat
plutoman20: discards 1 card [5d]
Dealt to plutoman20 [2h 3d 7s] [Tc]
huli2: bets $2
plutoman20: calls $2
*** THIRD DRAW ***
huli2: stands pat
plutoman20: stands pat on [2h 3d 7s Tc]
huli2: checks
plutoman20: bets $2
huli2: calls $2
*** SHOW DOWN ***
plutoman20: shows [2h 3d 7s Tc] (Badugi: T,7,3,2)
huli2: mucks hand
plutoman20 collected $13.44 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $14 | Rake $0.56
Seat 2: plutoman20 (big blind) showed [2h 3d 7s Tc] and won ($13.44) with a Badugi: T,7,3,2
Seat 3: guitarlord66 folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 4: dirkORdie folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 6: bettor77 folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 7: djs909090 (button) folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 8: huli2 (small blind) mucked [Jc As 8h 4d]

Hand 6
This is an easy defence against Hapsmon(k)ey. I think drawing one on the second draw might have been the way to go after seeing all those deuces (so he didn't start with a deuce!). Surprisingly (considering I can't see him folding a lot) I got away with this.

PokerStars Hand #83907017282:  Triple Draw 2-7 Lowball Limit ($1/$2 USD) - 2012/07/27
Table 'Gudula III' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: hapsmoney ($12.34 in chips)
Seat 3: Gennady8168 ($45.56 in chips)
Seat 4: plutoman20 ($25.23 in chips)
Seat 5: arcmonkey ($75.13 in chips)
Seat 6: Katzza ($52.31 in chips)
Gennady8168: posts small blind $0.50
plutoman20: posts big blind $1
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [6d Js Ks 9h 2d]
arcmonkey: folds
Katzza: folds
hapsmoney: raises $1 to $2
Gennady8168: folds
plutoman20: calls $1
*** FIRST DRAW ***
plutoman20: discards 3 cards [Js Ks 9h]
Dealt to plutoman20 [6d 2d] [2s Qh 2c]
hapsmoney: discards 4 cards
plutoman20: checks
hapsmoney: bets $1
plutoman20: calls $1
*** SECOND DRAW ***
plutoman20: discards 2 cards [2s 2d]
Dealt to plutoman20 [6d Qh 2c] [Jd 2h]
hapsmoney: discards 2 cards
plutoman20: bets $2
hapsmoney: calls $2
*** THIRD DRAW ***
plutoman20: stands pat on [6d Qh 2c Jd 2h]
hapsmoney: discards 1 card
plutoman20: bets $2
hapsmoney: folds
Uncalled bet ($2) returned to plutoman20
plutoman20 collected $10.08 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $10.50 | Rake $0.42
Seat 1: hapsmoney (button) folded after the 3rd Draw
Seat 3: Gennady8168 (small blind) folded before the Draw
Seat 4: plutoman20 (big blind) collected ($10.08)
Seat 5: arcmonkey folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Katzza folded before the Draw (didn't bet)

Hand 7
I nearly capped the turn here against Mr Donk.

PokerStars Hand #83907664942:  Triple Draw 2-7 Lowball Limit ($1/$2 USD) - 2012/07/27 5:35:08 ET
Table 'Gudula III' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: hapsmoney ($63.38 in chips)
Seat 2: obobro ($60 in chips)
Seat 3: Gennady8168 ($30.42 in chips)
Seat 4: plutoman20 ($30.27 in chips)
Seat 5: FitoPaez ($50 in chips)
Seat 6: Katzza ($26.37 in chips)
hapsmoney: posts small blind $0.50
obobro: posts big blind $1
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [9c Kc 2s 5c 8c]
Gennady8168: folds
plutoman20: raises $1 to $2
FitoPaez: folds
Katzza: folds
hapsmoney: folds
obobro: raises $1 to $3
plutoman20: calls $1
*** FIRST DRAW ***
obobro: discards 2 cards
plutoman20: discards 2 cards [9c Kc]
Dealt to plutoman20 [2s 5c 8c] [Ac 6h]
obobro: bets $1
plutoman20: calls $1
*** SECOND DRAW ***
obobro: discards 2 cards
plutoman20: discards 1 card [Ac]
Dealt to plutoman20 [2s 5c 8c 6h] [4s]
obobro: bets $2
plutoman20: raises $2 to $4
obobro: raises $2 to $6
plutoman20: calls $2
*** THIRD DRAW ***
obobro: stands pat
plutoman20: stands pat on [2s 5c 8c 6h 4s]
obobro: bets $2
plutoman20: calls $2
*** SHOW DOWN ***
obobro: shows [2d 5h 7d 4c 3s] (Lo: 7,5,4,3,2)
plutoman20: mucks hand
obobro collected $23.70 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $24.50 | Rake $0.80
Seat 1: hapsmoney (small blind) folded before the Draw
Seat 2: obobro (big blind) showed [2d 5h 7d 4c 3s] and won ($23.70) with Lo: 7,5,4,3,2
Seat 3: Gennady8168 folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 4: plutoman20 mucked [4s 6h 2s 5c 8c]
Seat 5: FitoPaez folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Katzza (button) folded before the Draw (didn't bet)


Hand 8
When he pats in front of me I guess I have to draw two. Or else perhaps I should have just folded when he bet the turn.

PokerStars Hand #83953379016:  Triple Draw 2-7 Lowball Limit ($1/$2 USD) - 2012/07/28
Table 'Praxidike II' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: 2s3d4d5h7s ($20.78 in chips)
Seat 2: GV-Raw ($45.07 in chips)
Seat 3: plutoman20 ($44.62 in chips)
Seat 4: sumerki-2012 ($128.87 in chips)
Seat 5: Gennady8168 ($3.08 in chips)
Seat 6: ogotop76 ($37.48 in chips)
2s3d4d5h7s: posts small blind $0.50
GV-Raw: posts big blind $1
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [Th 3s 2d 2s 7d]
plutoman20: raises $1 to $2
sumerki-2012: folds
Gennady8168: folds
ogotop76: folds
2s3d4d5h7s: folds
GV-Raw: calls $1
*** FIRST DRAW ***
GV-Raw: discards 2 cards
plutoman20: discards 2 cards [Th 2s]
Dealt to plutoman20 [3s 2d 7d] [9h Js]
GV-Raw: checks
plutoman20: checks
*** SECOND DRAW ***
Gennady8168 leaves the table
GV-Raw: discards 1 card
plutoman20: discards 2 cards [9h Js]
Dealt to plutoman20 [3s 2d 7d] [2c 3d]
GV-Raw: bets $2
plutoman20: raises $2 to $4
GV-Raw: calls $2
*** THIRD DRAW ***
GV-Raw: stands pat
plutoman20: stands pat on [3s 2d 7d 2c 3d]
GV-Raw: checks
plutoman20: bets $2
GV-Raw: calls $2
*** SHOW DOWN ***
plutoman20: shows [2c 3s 2d 3d 7d] (Lo: two pair, Threes and Deuces)
GV-Raw: shows [7c 2h 4c 8c 5d] (Lo: 8,7,5,4,2)
GV-Raw collected $15.84 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $16.50 | Rake $0.66
Seat 1: 2s3d4d5h7s (small blind) folded before the Draw
Seat 2: GV-Raw (big blind) showed [7c 2h 4c 8c 5d] and won ($15.84) with Lo: 8,7,5,4,2
Seat 3: plutoman20 showed [2c 3s 2d 3d 7d] and lost with Lo: two pair, Threes and Deuces
Seat 4: sumerki-2012 folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Gennady8168 folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 6: ogotop76 (button) folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Hand 9
He was shoving about every second hand it seemed. I'd folded to some of his shoves (after raising); now it was time to take a stand. His draw was pretty crummy too.

PokerStars Hand #83944639260:  Single Draw 2-7 Lowball No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2012/07/27 22:56:24 ET
Table 'Sumiana II' 7-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 4: BadHand 65 ($77.52 in chips)
Seat 5: twisky22 ($17.02 in chips)
Seat 6: JokerTelavi ($38.29 in chips)
Seat 7: plutoman20 ($34.71 in chips)
JokerTelavi: posts small blind $0.25
plutoman20: posts big blind $0.50
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to plutoman20 [Td 4d 9c 2c 5s]
BadHand 65: folds
twisky22: raises $1 to $1.50
JokerTelavi: calls $1.25
plutoman20: raises $4.50 to $6
BadHand 65 leaves the table
twisky22: raises $11.02 to $17.02 and is all-in
JokerTelavi: folds
plutoman20: calls $11.02
plutoman20: stands pat on [Td 4d 9c 2c 5s]
twisky22: discards 1 card
*** SHOW DOWN ***
plutoman20: shows [Td 4d 9c 2c 5s] (Lo: T,9,5,4,2)
twisky22: shows [9s Kc 5h 3c 8h] (Lo: K,9,8,5,3)
plutoman20 collected $34.04 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $35.54 | Rake $1.50
Seat 4: BadHand 65 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: twisky22 (button) showed [9s Kc 5h 3c 8h] and lost with Lo: K,9,8,5,3
Seat 6: JokerTelavi (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 7: plutoman20 (big blind) showed [Td 4d 9c 2c 5s] and won ($34.04) with Lo: T,9,5,4,2

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